Week 1: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 9/11/22 NFL Picks, Predictions & Predictions

New England Patriots (0-0) – Miami Dolphins (0-0)
September 11, 2022, 1:00 PM EST
Line: Miami Dolphins -2.5 / New England Patriots +2.5; More / Less: +45.5
(Click here for the latest betting odds)

The Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots are tied on Sunday in a NFL East Asian Football League game at Hard Rock Stadium.

The New England Patriots are looking to build on a good 10-7 mark in 2021 that saw the Patriots return to the playoffs for the first time in a post-Tom Brady era with the Patriots’ first wild card berth under Bill Belichick. The stay was short-lived, as the Pats bounced back by Buffalo 47-17 in the wild card game. Mac Jones is back on the QB start for New England after throwing 3,801 yards, 22 touchdowns and 13 picks last season while Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson form a powerful 1-2 punch for New England after combining them for more than 1,500 yards last year. DeVante Parker is Foxborough’s new WR1 after being brought in from Miami in the off-season while Jacoby Myers and Kendrick Bourne fit into the mix as well as rookie Tyquan Thornton at some point this season. In defense, they are the usual suspects for New England led by Matthew Goodon, Gawawon Bentley and Mac Wilson while Devin McCourty, Adrian Phillips, Kyle Duger and Gabriel Peppers lead the Patriots High.

The Miami Dolphins will be looking to make some moves in 2022 past the 9-8 mark in 2021, forcing the Dolphins to miss a post-season opportunity for the fifth year in a row. Tua Tagovailoa will try to build on a decent 2021 season after throwing 2,653 yards, 16 touchdowns and 10 picks, but he has plenty of guns at his disposal, with Chase Edmonds coming from Arizona to fight alongside recently returned from injury Raheem Mostert and a familiar face at Myles Gaskin. However, getting Miami was the Tyreek Hill acquisition from the Chiefs to match Jaylen Waddle and Cedrick Wilson as one of the best receiving lines in the NFL. In terms of defense, Raekwon Davis leads Miami’s rush of passes while Melvin Ingram third and Jerome Baker lead the quarterback. Xavien Howard also returned to high school in Miami this season.

New England had 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the AFC while the winner was 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Miami 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 league games, 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games, while under 5-1 in its last 6 games.

I get the case for New England here and take it from a Patriots fan, I’m at the helm of Mac Jones who runs this team now that he has an entire season under his belt. However, the Patriots have a history of struggling in Miami, and the Dolphins have done a lot to improve their off-season roster while I still believe that New Englanders will rely on their defense to win a lot of fights this season. I was a little shocked because that streak is as low as I’m being honest, so give me dolphins.

Chris Ruffolo’s free pick:

Miami -2.5