Russell Wilson’s Denver career begins with his first week game against his former team. While the Broncos may not need an old game of it, we can still expect it to be solid — our MNF lights flickering.
After 10 seasons in Seattle, Wilson moved to Mile High City. Whether it was because Emerald City wasn’t giving him enough green, or he just needed a change of scenery, it’s now preferable for Wilson to go in and defeat Pete Carroll and his forces against “12th Man” at Lumen Field.
Oddsmakers of course offer a slew of teases that Wilson is involved in this game, and we’ve taken a long look at all of them. Here are our three favorites Russell Wilson prop Picks for Monday 12th September.
Picks Russell Wilson’s MNF . Bracket
Click on each selection to go to the full analysis.
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Russell Wilson MNF Props
No smart play
Even when Russell Wilson was behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, he was always keen on football. Now that he’s played with the Broncos O-line ranked 16 by Pro Football Focus entering the year – unlike the Seahawks’ 32nd-ranked unit – it will be easier for him to avoid throwing an interception.
Wilson threw only six picks in 2021 out of 400 attempts, which is good for a 1.5% interception rate. In nine of his 14 engagements last season, Wilson didn’t throw a single wits.
Seattle finished 23rd in the NFL in interceptions last season, taking the opponent quarterback just 11 times. Four of these 11 selections were scored by players who are no longer with the team, DJ Reed, Ugo Amadi and Bobby Wagner.
The odds on this brace may not be directly attractive, but it looks good value nonetheless. It would also be a great addition to any investment.
to support: less than 0.5 interceptions (-165)
Wilson scores two goals
Wilson’s hands were sometimes tied up by calling Carroll to play with the Seahawks, yet he still found a way to be a throwing machine. He threw “DangerRuss” at least twice for touchdowns in six of his last seven games in Seattle last season.
The 2021 campaign was considered a bearish year for the previous third-round pick, but a 6.3% drop rate ranked it fourth in the NFL among eligible passers-by. Wilson finished second in the same category in 2020 with a 7.2% drop rate, trailing league best player Aaron Rodgers (9.1%).
A season-ending training camp injury suffered by wide receiver Tim Patrick removes some starch from the Denver attack, but Wilson must ensure that Cortland Sutton and Jerry Judy live up to their full potential after several seasons spent in the woods with some minor level play. Quarterback play.
Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon III serve as off-court pass threats, as they combined in tandem for five TDs a year ago.
to support: more than 1.5 transient drops (-125)
Covers NFL betting analysis
Ross will not be happy
One might be tempted to think Wilson would stream it early and often loath Carroll on Monday night, but smart play is to support Under in the pass-at-temps market.
The Seahawks appear close on both sides of the ball, with their defense ranking 28th by yards allowed in every game last year (379.1), while Denver ranked eighth (326.1). Quarterback competition is unfair, with Wilson waging war against Gino Smith, who hasn’t held a starting job since 2014.
Smith has an alarmingly high interception rate of 3.7% over his career, so there’s a chance that Bronco’s defense can help turn this game into a funny one. If so, Wilson could take his foot off the throttle and let Williams and Gordon do the work in the second half.
This bet can be played up to 31.5 attempts to pass.
to support: less than 33.5 pass attempts (+100)